Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.604796 0.779230 0.976258 1.212595 1.485704 1.788836 2.148130
2025-09-07 0.387541 0.610506 0.894958 1.272031 1.746483 2.312079 3.025441
2025-09-14 0.247014 0.482077 0.820742 1.312303 1.976617 2.814382 3.921245
2025-09-21 0.153098 0.378739 0.747271 1.329808 2.168007 3.275729 4.794556
2025-09-28 0.086945 0.286065 0.659752 1.303479 2.286250 3.641040 5.559580
2025-10-05 0.052209 0.231404 0.615256 1.327792 2.469700 4.097020 6.459048
2025-10-12 0.029248 0.184908 0.569203 1.336953 2.624325 4.514687 7.318719
2025-10-19 0.013128 0.137339 0.502696 1.295367 2.690105 4.802152 8.004123
2025-10-26 0.005061 0.102508 0.449036 1.264143 2.763890 5.098595 8.706624
2025-11-02 0.001830 0.081526 0.420127 1.273611 2.902201 5.493602 9.558491
2025-11-09 0.000273 0.058303 0.371716 1.231973 2.945181 5.740288 10.198767
2025-11-16 0.000041 0.050457 0.368332 1.286652 3.161099 6.262660 11.256195
2025-11-23 NaN 0.038482 0.343302 1.289409 3.285962 6.651873 12.137470
2025-11-30 NaN 0.034901 0.350608 1.370785 3.562966 7.295767 13.418657
2025-12-07 NaN 0.029604 0.346635 1.423276 3.787706 7.861815 14.595504
2025-12-14 NaN 0.023373 0.332535 1.446965 3.957230 8.341836 15.651561
2025-12-21 NaN 0.016002 0.302505 1.421643 4.026850 8.656792 16.459976
2025-12-28 NaN 0.012420 0.292166 1.448782 4.202401 9.153290 17.557902
2026-01-04 NaN 0.009031 0.277247 1.459187 4.342817 9.592530 18.573245
2026-01-11 NaN 0.005209 0.246923 1.415337 4.365258 9.828462 19.272669
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002857 0.222173 1.382306 4.406622 10.096250 20.025549
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001788 0.211048 1.392460 4.541994 10.531548 21.052038
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000712 0.186561 1.348207 4.551827 10.742996 21.721774